A full toss outside off from Gregory, and Stubbs unleashes a powerful, controlled slog. He connects perfectly, sending it flying over deep backward square leg for six! Tristan Stubbs reaches a brilliant 50 off just 28 balls with a strike rate of 186.
Over 19. 10 runs. Bowler: Ben Sanderson. Southern Brave Men: 4-151(rr 7.95) Ben Sanderson bowls a full toss outside off, met with a neat sweep from Nikhil Chaudhary who keeps it grounded and gets a single. Southern Brave Men require 8 runs from 25 balls with six wickets in hand, holding a 78% chance to win according to WinViz.
Ben Sanderson delivers a full toss on off stump, and Chaudhary elegantly flicks it off his pads for a quick two to deep square leg. Nikhil Chaudhary is off the mark, pushing Southern Brave Men to 150 for 4.
A full toss outside off, no movement on offer. Stoinis goes for a drive but mistimes it, resulting in a catch at mid off. He is dismissed caught. Marcus Stoinis departs for 46 off 25 balls. A significant shift as Trent Rockets Men’s chances improve from 7% to 14%.
Ben Sanderson bowls a full-length, no movement delivery outside off. Stubbs steps into a beautifully controlled drive, middling it with precision for a clean six over extra cover. Southern Brave Men seize momentum, boosting their win probability from 79% to 94%.
Over 18. 8 runs. Bowler: Ben Sanderson. Southern Brave Men: 3-141(rr 7.83) A full, outside off delivery with no movement, driven beautifully by Marcus Stoinis. He stones it with a controlled stroke, sending the ball flying over long off for a superb six. The momentum swings sharply as Southern Brave Men go from a 54% to 79% chance, needing 18 from 30 with seven wickets still in hand.
Ben Sanderson bowls a full delivery wide outside off. Marcus Stoinis pushes at it, but his inside edge yields no run. There's a big shift in momentum as Trent Rockets Men improve their chances from 34% to 46%.
Tristan Stubbs pushes a yorker on off stump firmly into the ground, careful not to give anything away; no run comes off this delivery. The odds have shifted noticeably as Trent Rockets Men’s chance improves to 30%.
Ben Sanderson bowls a length ball just outside off, met with a controlled drive by Stoinis who keeps it along the ground, picking up a single neatly fielded at deep cover.
Over 17. 4 runs. Bowler: Mitch Santner. Southern Brave Men: 3-133(rr 7.82) The stock ball comes in at length on middle stump and Stubbs works it neatly to the leg side, picking up a single. Southern Brave Men require 26 runs from 35 balls with seven wickets in hand, holding a strong 79% chance of winning.
Santner bowls his stock ball on a length, angling in on middle stump. Stoinis pushes it back down the pitch, keeping it tight as the ball is fielded quickly.
Over 16. 11 runs. Bowler: Matt Henry. Southern Brave Men: 3-129(rr 8.06) A length ball outside off, bowled without any movement, is met with a well-timed, controlled drive by the batter. He elegantly sends it racing to the boundary on the long-on side for four. Southern Brave Men extend their winning chances to 86%, with the partnership now 51 from 28 balls in a chase requiring 30 runs from 40 deliveries and seven wickets intact.
Matt Henry delivers a back of a length ball outside off, pitching without any movement. Stoinis leans into a well-timed, controlled drive, carving it crisply through third man for four. That boundary boosts Southern Brave Men's win probability significantly from 75% to 81%.
On a length ball targeting off stump, the batter works a leading edge and scrambles through for a quick single. Stubbs moves to thirty off just 19 balls, keeping the strike flying at 158.