Over 18. 5 runs. Bowler: Mohammad Amir. Surrey Men: 3-143(rr 7.94) A slower ball on a back of a length, aimed on off stump, tempts the batter into a drive but Josh Philippe misses it, leaving a dot ball. Nottinghamshire’s win probability nudges up from 18% to 24%. Surrey require 21 runs from 12 balls with seven wickets in hand, maintaining a 76% chance.